MLB K Model · Historical Performance

Performance

3/26-10/28 · 1418 picks

Updated: 2026-10-29 17:17

Model-era PSI+ labels on this tracker are separate from the current public PSI+ metric.

Season Record

777-641

1418 settled picks

Win Rate

54.8%

+2.4pp vs −110 breakeven

Overs

409-370

52.5% win rate

Unders

368-271

57.6% win rate

Rolling Win Rate

7-Day

30-Day

PSI+ Added

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Daily Results

54.8%

777-641

Click a day to view its picks

Segments

Top Performing Segments

Over Segments

P(Line) 80-85%

6-2

+17.2pp

P(Line) 85%+

7-3

+12.2pp

P(Line) 75-80%

10-6

+4.7pp

LHP Away

29-19

+2.6pp

RHP Home >5.5

15-10

+2.2pp

RHP Home ≤4.5

88-63

+0.5pp

P(Line) 65-70%

21-15

+0.5pp

Line ≤4.0

115-86

-0.6pp

RHP Home (all)

133-102

-1.2pp

RHP Home ≤5.5

118-92

-1.6pp

LHP Home

43-35

-2.7pp

Line 5.0-5.5

71-62

-4.4pp

Line 4.5

110-100

-5.4pp

Line 6.0+

28-26

-5.9pp

RHP Away

110-104

-6.4pp

P(Line) 70-75%

16-22

-15.7pp

Under Segments

Line 7.0+

28-12

+12.2pp

Line 6.0-6.5

35-20

+5.8pp

RHP Away

77-54

+1.0pp

Away (all)

115-85

-0.3pp

P(Line) 25-30%

17-13

-1.1pp

P(Line) 15-20%

10-8

-2.2pp

P(Line) 20-25%

10-8

-2.2pp

LHP Home

41-33

-2.4pp

LHP (all)

79-64

-2.6pp

LHP Away

38-31

-2.7pp

Home (all)

102-84

-3.0pp

RHP Home

61-51

-3.3pp

Line 4.0-4.5

71-63

-4.8pp

Line ≤3.5

23-21

-5.5pp

Line 5.0-5.5

67-70

-8.9pp

P(Line) 10-15%

3-4

-14.9pp