Model Transparency — V4

Backtesting Dashboard

Full season performance · · All posted picks

Breakdown

Performance by K Line Threshold

Where the model is strongest — and where to be cautious.

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Calibration

Model Probability vs Actual Win Rate

A well-calibrated model tracks the dashed diagonal — when the model says 70%, it should win ~70% of the time.

Calibration Curve
Blue = V4 model · Dashed = perfect calibration
Win Rate by Confidence Bucket
Green ≥ 65% · Gold = near breakeven · Red = below breakeven